Predictive Maintenance
Tension usually crosses tolerance first — and it is the one operators quietly adjust out rather than report.
— h
Set by whichever tolerance is reached first
Steady linear drift is a convenient fiction: real machines hold timing well and then move quickly once a bearing or a hook has genuinely worn, so a machine inside its calculated interval can still be out of specification. Both rates depend far more on thread type, fabric abrasiveness and maintenance quality than on speed alone, and must be fitted from your own service records. Skipped stitches, thread breaks and seam pucker are the symptoms that matter, and a machine showing them needs attention regardless of what the hour count says.
Sewing Machine Rotary Hook Timing & Tension Drift Modeler — free, with the formula and a worked example, at Textile School.