Yarn Testing
The mean has a safety factor of 5.5. The weakest place in a kilometre has 3.3.
— x
Expected weakest segment against running tension
Segments are treated as statistically independent, which they are not entirely - strength varies with count, and count has periodic and drift components, so neighbouring lengths are correlated. Correlation reduces the effective number of independent segments and makes the true expected minimum less extreme than the figure here. The normal distribution understates the lower tail for yarn: Weibull is the better model and would give a weaker expected minimum, so the safety factors here are optimistic rather than conservative in the deep tail. Strength is at the stated gauge length and standard atmosphere; a different gauge length gives a different mean and CV for the same yarn, and the two cannot be compared. The break probability output is included for completeness and should not be used as a breakage-rate prediction, for the reasons given in the questions above.
Yarn Strength Distribution, Weak Place & Safety Factor — free, with the formula and a worked example, at Textile School.